Score a new credit product from launch day

Day-Zero scores it before the first default. As loans mature, zypl.Foundation learns each one in context and takes over scoring on your sign-off, once your own outcomes show it ranks better.

Bulletin № 01 · From day zero to handoverFrom the claim ledger
Headline · the outcome gap

A new product has no defaults of its own.

A fitted scorecard needs matured loans, and a new product, market or segment has none yet. Until a vintage matures, decisions run on rules borrowed from another book, and the cost of a wrong rule shows only when the defaults arrive.

  • 01 · Day zero

    Day 0

    a Day-Zero scorecard, before the first default

    Built from the data dictionary and feature statistics, and reviewed by your validator before launch. Its ranking quality shows once your own outcomes arrive.

  • 02 · As loans mature

    +2.1

    Gini points at 100 matured loans

    Comparator: TabICLv2 with eight members. Ranking quality, not calibration; outcome-stratified contexts. Gini = 2·AUC − 1.

  • 03 · Proven on your outcomes

    0.651 → 0.699

    served AUC, Day-Zero alone to Handover

    A retrospective replay between Day-Zero and zypl.Foundation — not a live deployment, and not yet with Zehn. Always serving zypl.Foundation reached about 0.711: Handover is a governed, reversible policy, not an accuracy gain over the foundation model. Switches occurred at application index 2,862 to 11,182.

Every number has a caveat. Each one is on the page.
§ How it works · from day zero to handover

From day zero to your own outcomes.

  1. 01 · Day zero

    Day zero: a scorecard before any repayment.

    No outcomes yet. Send the product's data dictionary and feature statistics: a scorecard comes back with points, grades and reason codes, and a written reason for every weight, for your validator to review before launch.

    What Day-Zero delivers
    Day-ZeroGive Me Some Credit
    • Times 90+ days late0.80

      NumberOfTimes90DaysLate

      Delinquency roll-rate pathway from moderate arrears to severe default

    • Revolving credit utilisation0.65

      RevolvingUtilizationOfUnsecuredLines

    • Times 60–89 days late0.55

      NumberOfTime60-89DaysPastDueNotWorse

    • Times 30–59 days late0.45

      NumberOfTime30-59DaysPastDueNotWorse

    6 more weights, each with its reason

  2. 02 · As loans mature

    Then switch on zypl.Foundation.

    Each loan that matures joins the model's context, with no training run per product. zypl.Foundation scores beside the Day-Zero card and your current process. It reads any labelled table the same way: loans, or another outcome you want to predict.

    Gini points over the strongest open model of its class
    100 matured loans
    +2.1
    100–500 loans · pre-registered
    +1.3
    Full data
    +0.8
    11 public credit tables · full context
    +1.7

    Comparator: TabICLv2 with eight members. Ranking quality, not calibration; outcome-stratified contexts. Gini = 2·AUC − 1. At full data the gain comes from the serving procedure, not from the specialised weights. Measured on lending books. On other tables, test it on yours.

    Every figure with its source
    ContextIllustrative

    Matured loans, as they arrive

    • LN-0412repaidin context
    • LN-0417repaidin context
    • LN-0433defaultedin context
    • LN-0438repaidin context
    • LN-0451repaidin context
    • LN-0469repaidin context

    No training run · each loan is read as context

  3. 03 · Proven on your outcomes

    Handover, on your sign-off.

    zypl.Foundation takes over scoring when your own held-out outcomes show it ranks better, and your risk owner signs. Until then it scores in shadow, and service moves back if the evidence turns.

    HandoverIllustrative

    Shadow period

    Your current process
    serving
    zypl.Foundation
    scoring in shadow
    Held-out outcomes
    sealed until review
    Validator
    pack reviewed
    Risk owner
    sign-off pending

    Service moves on your sign-off

4 questions · head to headzypl.Foundation

With

zypl.Foundation.

Today

Borrowed rules.

01Launch day

WithA Day-Zero scorecard: points, grades, reason codes.

TodayPolicy rules and judgement from another book.

02Matured loans

WithEach one learned in context, no training run.

TodayWait for a vintage, then a modelling project.

03Validation

WithA written reason for every weight, up front.

TodayA model the validator meets after the fact.

04Deployment

WithInside your environment, on server CPUs.

TodayWherever the scorecard was built.

§ End of pageDemo · public lending books

See it on a public book, then on yours.

The demo walks Day-Zero on public lending books, then zypl.Foundation on the example or a labelled CSV of your own. A Day-Zero Readout reads one of your products from its data dictionary, within 48 hours.

Day-Zero Readout
  1. 01Top drivers
  2. 02Expected ranking band
  3. 03Data-readiness gaps
What comes backWithin 48 hours
Launch day · a scorecardEvery matured loan · in contextYour servers · your outcomesYour validator · your sign-off